Global Foresight 2036: What will the next decade bring?

Global Foresight 2036: What will the next decade bring?

by AtlanticCouncil

Humanities, Social Sciences & Thought Geopolitics & Defence JPSInternational relationsJPSLGeopolitics
🎙 AtlanticCouncil 👥 125K 📅 February 11, 2026 ⏱ 87 min 👁 2K 📄 expert opinion 🧭 2026-08-06
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

geopoliticsforesightChinaUSglobal trends

Summary

The Atlantic Council hosts a launch event for its Global Foresight 2036 report, which surveys nearly 450 geostrategists from over 70 countries to predict global trends over the next decade. The event features opening remarks, an introduction to the report, and a panel discussion on the future of Europe, China, and the United States. Key survey findings include a pessimistic outlook, with two-thirds of respondents expecting the world to be worse by 2036. China is predicted to become a peer to the US, and even surpass it in economic power. There is significant concern about nuclear proliferation, with 85% expecting additional countries to acquire nuclear weapons. The event also highlights ‘snow leopards’—under-the-radar phenomena—and previews a video on the future of AI. The discussion emphasizes the need for forward-thinking strategies to address emerging challenges.

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Critical Evaluation

The video provides a high-level overview of the Atlantic Council’s Global Foresight 2036 report, offering valuable insights into expert opinions on global trends. The panel discussion, moderated by Morgan Scha, features experts like Melanie Sisson, who provide nuanced perspectives on US-China competition. The content is well-structured, with clear segments for each topic. However, the analysis is largely based on survey responses and expert opinions, which, while informed, are not empirical evidence. The report’s methodology is briefly mentioned but not detailed, limiting the ability to assess the robustness of the findings. The discussion on China’s rise is particularly insightful, acknowledging both strengths and challenges. The ‘snow leopards’ segment introduces novel ideas but lacks depth due to time constraints. The video preview on AI is intriguing but only a teaser. Overall, the content is informative and thought-provoking, but it relies heavily on subjective expert judgment rather than rigorous scientific analysis. The sources cited are primarily the Atlantic Council’s own report and the experts’ professional experience, which are credible but not independently verifiable. The adéquation between title and content is strong, as the video directly addresses the question of what the next decade will bring. The public comments, if any, are not provided, so no analysis of audience reception is possible.

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Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, which focuses on global foresight and predictions for the next decade.

Quality & Reliability

7/10

The video presents a report launch by a reputable think tank, the Atlantic Council, with expert panels discussing survey findings. The methodology of the survey is briefly described, but detailed data and peer review are not provided. The content is opinion and analysis based on expert judgment, not original research.

Chapters

Cited Sources

  • Global Foresight 2036 Report — The report being launched, containing survey findings and analysis.

Concurring Sources

  • Pew Research Center — Provides public opinion data on global issues, which may align with survey findings.

Dissenting Sources

  • China's Economic Growth Projections — IMF projections may differ from the survey's expectations of China surpassing the US in economic power.

Contribution & Novelties

The video provides a concise summary of the Atlantic Council’s annual foresight report, offering expert opinions on future geopolitical trends. The survey data, while not new, is synthesized into key findings that highlight potential shifts in global power dynamics. The concept of ‘snow leopards’—under-the-radar phenomena—adds a novel framework for identifying emerging issues. The video also previews a series on AI’s future, indicating a forward-looking approach.

Pour aller plus loin :

  • Global Foresight 2036 Report — The full report provides detailed data and analysis.
  • Atlantic Council Scowcroft Center — The center responsible for the report, offering additional resources.
  • Strategic Foresight — A concept central to the report’s methodology.

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Radar Profile

The radar profile shows a balanced performance across all dimensions, with slightly higher scores in information quantity and reliability, reflecting the comprehensive yet opinion-based nature of the content.

Reliability 7/10