La performatividad de los escenarios regionales de clima: una propuesta analítica para rastrear sus efectos políticos

La performatividad de los escenarios regionales de clima: una propuesta analítica para rastrear sus efectos políticos

🎙 Teresa Guadalupe de León Escobedo 👥 4K 📅 May 14, 2026 ⏱ 126 min 👁 26 📄 expert opinion 🧭 2026-08-13
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

regional climate scenariosperformativityclimate governanceMexicoscience-policy interface

Summary

In this seminar, Teresa de León Escobedo presents her ongoing research on the performativity of regional climate scenarios (RCS) and their political effects, focusing on the Mexican case. She begins by situating her work at the intersection of human geography and science and technology studies (STS), particularly concerning climate change knowledge and anticipatory governance. She traces the historical origins of RCS, noting that they emerged from nuclear waste management in the US in the 1980s, not from an international effort to democratize climate knowledge. She explains the two main downscaling techniques: statistical and dynamic, highlighting their respective advantages and limitations. She argues that RCS are not neutral tools but performative instruments that shape futures and influence policy. Drawing on her qualitative research on Mexican national communications, she suggests that in Mexico, RCS have not functioned as dominant boundary objects or decisive guides for adaptation, but rather as negotiation tools that enable the emergence of local climate communities. She proposes an analytical framework to trace the performativity of RCS in contexts of material and institutional limitations, emphasizing the role of deviations and failures. The presentation concludes with a discussion of the implications for understanding climate governance in the Global South.

199 words

Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The presentation offers valuable insights into the performativity of climate scenarios, a topic often overlooked in climate governance literature. The argument is well-constructed, drawing on theoretical frameworks from STS and human geography, and is supported by empirical evidence from the Mexican case. The speaker effectively challenges dominant assumptions about the role of RCS, showing that they do not always function as boundary objects or authoritative guides. The discussion of the historical origins of RCS and the technical details of downscaling adds depth. The argument is nuanced and acknowledges the complexity of the science-policy interface. However, some points could be further elaborated, such as the specific mechanisms through which performativity operates in the Mexican context.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The presentation demonstrates scientific rigor through its grounding in established literature and the author’s own qualitative research. The speaker cites key scholars such as Martin Mahony, Sheila Jasanoff, and Judith Butler, and references the IPCC definitions. The sources are relevant and credible. The title accurately reflects the content, and the presentation stays focused on the proposed analytical framework. The speaker is transparent about the status of the manuscript and the limitations of the study. Overall, the scientific quality is high, though the lack of published peer-reviewed sources in the presentation limits its immediate verifiability.

223 words

Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, which focuses on the performativity of regional climate scenarios and proposes an analytical framework to trace their political effects.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

The presentation is based on the author's own qualitative research and draws on established scholars in geography and STS. The argument is well-structured and nuanced, but as a seminar talk, it lacks peer-reviewed publication and some claims are not fully referenced.

Key Moments

Cited Sources

  • IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report — Definition of scenarios as plausible descriptions of how the future may develop based on a coherent set of assumptions.
  • Martin Mahony's work on climate scenarios — Historical origins of regional climate scenarios and their role as translation technologies.
  • Sheila Jasanoff's work on science and technology studies — Discussion of scalar dissonances and the co-production of knowledge.

Concurring Sources

Dissenting Sources

  • Critiques of RCS from the Global North — The presentation contrasts the Mexican case with critiques from the UK and other countries, showing that RCS do not always function as dominant boundary objects.

Contribution & Novelties

The presentation offers a novel analytical framework for understanding the performativity of regional climate scenarios in contexts of limited resources and institutional support, using the Mexican case as an empirical example. It challenges the dominant narrative that RCS function as boundary objects and authoritative guides, showing instead that they can serve as negotiation tools that enable local climate communities. This contributes to the literature on climate governance and the science-policy interface, particularly in the Global South.

Pour aller plus loin :

120 words

Radar Profile

The radar profile shows high scores in quantity and quality of information, indicating a well-informed presentation. The technical level is moderately high, reflecting the specialized topic. The overall reliability is strong, supported by the speaker's expertise and use of established literature.

Reliability 8/10

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