The Future of Electricity in the Middle East and North Africa

The Future of Electricity in the Middle East and North Africa

🎙 International Energy Agency 👥 28K 📅 December 17, 2025 ⏱ 55 min 👁 556 📄 expert opinion 🧭 2026-08-16
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

electricity demandrenewablesnatural gasdesalinationcooling

Summary

The webinar, hosted by the International Energy Agency, presents key findings from its report on the future of electricity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The region, historically an oil and gas exporter, is experiencing surging electricity demand driven by cooling, desalination, urbanization, electrification, and digitalization. The report highlights that electricity demand has tripled since 2000 and is projected to rise by 50% by 2035, with cooling and desalination accounting for 40% of that growth. Cooling demand, particularly for air conditioning, is a major driver, representing half of peak demand, and efficiency improvements could avoid 35 GW of peak demand. Desalination capacity is set to triple, with a shift to more efficient reverse osmosis technology. On the supply side, natural gas remains dominant, but solar PV is expected to grow tenfold, and renewables plus nuclear will meet half of new demand growth. The report also explores the implications of diversification, including reduced oil use, potential for gas exports, and fiscal benefits. A faster transition scenario aligned with net-zero pledges would accelerate electrification and renewables deployment.

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Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The webinar provides valuable insights into the electricity sector in the MENA region, backed by data and analysis from the IEA. The argumentation is solid, with clear explanations of demand drivers, supply trends, and policy implications. The presenters effectively use statistics and comparisons to global averages to underscore the region’s unique challenges and opportunities. The discussion of cooling and desalination as key demand pillars is particularly insightful, as is the analysis of the role of solar PV and natural gas in meeting future demand. The presentation of alternative scenarios, such as the impact of diversification on oil and gas use, adds depth to the argumentation.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The webinar is based on a comprehensive IEA report, which is a reputable source of energy analysis. The presenters are lead authors and experts, and they mention collaboration with over 100 regional experts, enhancing the credibility. The title accurately reflects the content, focusing on the future of electricity in the MENA region. The webinar does not delve into the full methodology, but the institutional backing and the use of detailed data support its scientific rigor. No comments were provided for analysis.

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Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, which focuses on the future of electricity in the MENA region, covering demand drivers, supply mix changes, and implications.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

The webinar presents findings from an IEA report, a reputable international energy agency, with data and analysis based on collaboration with over 100 regional experts. The methodology is not fully detailed in the webinar, but the institutional credibility and the presence of lead authors support a high reliability score.

Key Moments

Cited Sources

Concurring Sources

Contribution & Novelties

The webinar provides a comprehensive overview of the electricity sector in the MENA region, highlighting unique demand drivers such as cooling and desalination, and the potential for solar PV and natural gas to meet future demand. It offers new data and analysis on how electricity demand could evolve through 2035 and the implications for regional and global energy markets.

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Radar Profile

The radar profile shows high scores across all dimensions, indicating a well-rounded and reliable presentation. The high scores in information quantity and quality reflect the comprehensive data and analysis, while the technical level is appropriate for a professional audience. The reliability is strong due to the IEA's institutional credibility.

Reliability 8/10