Global Economic Resilience - Bilahari KAUSIKAN at the Tricontinental Dialogue | ESSEC Conference

Global Economic Resilience - Bilahari KAUSIKAN at the Tricontinental Dialogue | ESSEC Conference

Humanities, Social Sciences & Thought Economics & Finance KCEconomicsKCLInternational economics
🎙 Bilahari Kausikan 👥 90K 📅 July 2, 2026 ⏱ 16 min 👁 6K 📄 expert opinion 🧭 2026-08-13
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

resiliencefragmentationliberal international orderUS-Chinamiddle powers

Summary

In this keynote at the ESSEC Tricontinental Dialogue, Bilahari Kausikan, former Permanent Secretary of Singapore’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, offers a pragmatic analysis of economic resilience in a fragmented world. He argues that resilience is inseparable from political resilience and that the current era of geopolitical competition is closer to the historical norm than the post-Cold War period. He critiques Western leaders for reifying the liberal international order and failing to recognize that adversaries do not share their values. He contrasts European and Asian approaches to the US, noting that Asia has long dealt with the US on the basis of common interests rather than common values. He highlights the rise of Asian cooperation and the quiet strengthening of defense ties with the US. He emphasizes that the US is not retreating but redefining its engagement on a more transactional basis. He concludes that resilience requires discarding the expectations of the exceptional post-Cold War period and confronting the world as it is, with pragmatism and adaptability. He offers a message of hope, noting that countries and organizations have prospered under worse conditions.

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Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The talk provides valuable insights from a seasoned diplomat, offering a non-Western perspective on global shifts. The argumentation is coherent and well-supported with concrete examples, such as the CPTPP, RCEP, and defense cooperation agreements. Kausikan effectively challenges Western assumptions about the liberal international order and highlights the importance of hard power and balance of power. However, the argument is primarily opinion-based and lacks empirical data or citations. Some claims, such as the characterization of European gestures as ‘ridicule’, are subjective and may be contested. Overall, the value lies in its pragmatic, realpolitik perspective that is often underrepresented in Western discourse.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The speaker is a highly credible authority on the subject, given his extensive diplomatic career. However, the talk does not cite specific sources or data, relying instead on personal experience and historical examples. The title accurately reflects the content, focusing on economic resilience in a fragmented world. The description provides context about the ESSEC Institute for Geopolitics & Business, but no additional sources are cited. The talk is an opinion piece rather than a research presentation, so the lack of citations is expected but limits its scientific rigor. The title is appropriate and does not overpromise.

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Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, focusing on economic resilience in a fragmented world from a geopolitical perspective.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

The speaker is a highly experienced former diplomat with deep expertise in international relations. The talk is well-structured, draws on historical and contemporary examples, and offers a coherent, pragmatic perspective. However, it is an opinion piece without formal citations or empirical data, and some claims are contestable.

Key Moments

Cited Sources

  • ESSEC Knowledge — Official research and insights platform of ESSEC Business School.
  • ESSEC Business School — Official website of the institution hosting the conference.
  • ESSEC LinkedIn — Professional network page of ESSEC.
  • ESSEC YouTube Channel — Channel where the video is published.

Concurring Sources

  • The Liberal International Order and Its Discontents — Article discussing the challenges to the liberal international order.
  • Singapore's Foreign Policy: A Pragmatic Approach — Official site of Singapore's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, reflecting its pragmatic foreign policy.

Dissenting Sources

  • The End of the Liberal International Order? A European Perspective — European think tank perspective that may differ on the viability of the liberal order.

Contribution & Novelties

The talk offers a distinctive Singaporean perspective on global economic resilience, challenging Western-centric narratives. It provides a clear-eyed analysis of the post-Cold War exceptionalism and its impact on contemporary decision-making. The emphasis on the need to discard outdated habits of mind is a valuable contribution to the discourse on resilience.

Pour aller plus loin :

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Radar Profile

The radar profile shows high scores in quantity and quality of information, reflecting the speaker's expertise and the depth of analysis. The technical level is moderate, as the talk is accessible but assumes some familiarity with geopolitics. The overall reliability is high due to the speaker's credibility, though the lack of citations slightly lowers it.

Reliability 8/10

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