Intergenerational income mobility and assortative mating in Sweden | LSE III Event

Intergenerational income mobility and assortative mating in Sweden | LSE III Event

Humanities, Social Sciences & Thought Economics & Finance KCEconomicsKCFLabour
🎙 Markus Jäntti 👥 617 📅 January 30, 2026 ⏱ 64 min 👁 121 📄 original study 🧭 2026-08-16
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

intergenerational mobilityassortative matingincome persistencewelfareSweden

Summary

This seminar, part of the LSE Inequalities Seminar Series, presents joint work by Markus Jäntti and Jesper Roine on intergenerational income mobility and assortative mating in Sweden. The talk addresses the question of whether intergenerational persistence is socially desirable, using a welfare economics framework inspired by Tony Atkinson. The authors broaden the traditional focus on father-son earnings to include different population pairs (father/mother/both parents vs. sons/daughters/all offspring) and different income concepts (individual earnings, factor income, disposable income, and family income). Using Swedish tax register data from 1968 to 2018, they estimate trends in intergenerational persistence for cohorts born 1950-1975. They find that the level and trend of mobility vary by population and income concept. They also explore the role of assortative mating in shaping family income persistence. The welfare analysis, based on a utilitarian framework, suggests that social welfare declines with both intergenerational and intragenerational persistence, as well as with assortative mating. The talk includes a discussion of measurement issues, such as the age at which income is measured, and concludes with exploratory policy implications.

175 words

Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The value of the information is high, as it provides new empirical evidence on intergenerational mobility using comprehensive population data from Sweden, covering multiple income concepts and family structures. The argumentation is rigorous, building on a clear welfare framework and addressing measurement concerns. The speaker carefully explains the methodological choices and their implications, such as the age at which income is measured and the definition of family. The discussion of the welfare implications of mobility, including the role of assortative mating, adds depth to the analysis. However, the presentation is exploratory in nature, and some conclusions are tentative, as acknowledged by the speaker.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The scientific rigor is high, with a clear methodology and use of high-quality register data. The speaker cites relevant literature, including work by Tony Atkinson, Gary Solon, and others. The sources are appropriate and well-integrated. The title accurately reflects the content, focusing on intergenerational mobility and assortative mating in Sweden. The presentation is well-structured, and the speaker is transparent about limitations, such as the inability to account for cohabiting couples. No comments were provided for analysis.

194 words

Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content: the talk focuses on intergenerational income mobility and assortative mating in Sweden, with a special emphasis on trends.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

The presentation is based on population-level tax register data from Sweden, covering a long period (1968-2018). The speaker is a professor of economics with extensive publication record. The methodology is clearly explained, including the welfare framework and measurement issues. However, the talk is a seminar presentation, not a peer-reviewed publication, and some details are simplified or omitted.

Key Moments

Cited Sources

  • Handbook of Income Distribution — Cited as a reference for the welfare economics of mobility.
  • Constant Flux — Cited as a key sociological work on intergenerational mobility.
  • Atkinson, A. B. (1982) — Cited for the utilitarian welfare framework.
  • Roemer, J. (1998) — Cited in the context of equality of opportunity.

Concurring Sources

  • Chetty, R., et al. (2014) — Cited as a major work on absolute income mobility in the US.
  • Blanden, J. (2013) — Cited as a review of intergenerational mobility in the UK.

Contribution & Novelties

The talk contributes to the literature by systematically examining intergenerational mobility across different population pairs and income concepts, using comprehensive Swedish register data. It extends the welfare analysis to include assortative mating, showing that social welfare declines with both intergenerational persistence and assortative mating. The empirical findings highlight that trends in mobility vary by population and income concept, challenging the narrow focus on father-son earnings.

Pour aller plus loin :

113 words

Radar Profile

The radar profile shows high scores in quantity and quality of information, with a moderate technical level. The fiabilite is high, reflecting the use of reliable data and rigorous methodology. The overall assessment is strong, with a note of 4 out of 5.

Reliability 8/10