École d'été | 28 mai 2026 : Conspiratorial Thinking, Contested Beliefs par Maggie Toplak

École d'été | 28 mai 2026 : Conspiratorial Thinking, Contested Beliefs par Maggie Toplak

Humanities, Social Sciences & Thought Society & Culture JBGPopular beliefsJBGXConspiracy theories
🎙 Maggie Toplak 👥 2K 📅 July 9, 2026 ⏱ 66 min 👁 9 📄 expert opinion 🧭 2026-08-15
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

conspiracy beliefsactively open-minded thinkingrational thinkingdiscrimination indexhidden causal forces

Summary

Maggie Toplak presents her research on conspiracy beliefs, focusing on the evolution of her thinking and the role of actively open-minded thinking (AOT). She begins by discussing the Comprehensive Assessment of Rational Thinking (CART), which includes a conspiracy belief subtest. Initially, conspiracy beliefs were considered a form of contaminated mindware, and the subtest focused on false conspiracies. However, her recent studies have expanded to include true conspiracies and a discrimination index to measure the ability to distinguish between true and false conspiracies. The first study found that superstitious thinking and AOT were strong predictors of false conspiracy beliefs, while true conspiracy beliefs were less correlated with rational thinking components. The second study included a broader set of psychological variables and a revised AOT scale. Results showed that belief in hidden causal forces was a strong predictor of both true and false conspiracy beliefs, while AOT was negatively correlated with false beliefs and positively correlated with discrimination. The presentation emphasizes the importance of considering conspiracy beliefs as a disposition and the need for a more nuanced definition.

176 words

Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The presentation provides valuable insights into the measurement and conceptualization of conspiracy beliefs, highlighting the limitations of traditional scales and the importance of distinguishing between true and false conspiracies. The argumentation is solid, based on empirical data from multiple studies, and the speaker effectively explains the rationale behind the methodological choices. The inclusion of a discrimination index and the consideration of contested beliefs add depth to the analysis.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The presentation demonstrates scientific rigor by referencing specific studies and measures, such as the CART and the AOT scale. However, the video does not provide detailed citations or links to the studies mentioned, limiting the ability to verify the sources. The title accurately reflects the content, focusing on conspiratorial thinking and contested beliefs. The speaker’s expertise and the use of empirical data contribute to the overall reliability.

150 words

Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, which focuses on conspiratorial thinking and contested beliefs.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

Presentation by a recognized researcher in cognitive science, based on multiple studies with published data, but limited detail on methodology and no external verification in the video.

Key Moments

Cited Sources

  • Comprehensive Assessment of Rational Thinking (CART) — Mentioned as the battery used to measure rational thinking, including the conspiracy belief subtest.
  • Actively Open-Minded Thinking (AOT) scale — Discussed as a key predictor and revised in the studies.

Concurring Sources

  • Stanovich, K. E., West, R. F., & Toplak, M. E. (2016). The Rationality Quotient: Toward a Test of Rational Thinking. — The CART is based on this work, which is foundational to the presentation.

Contribution & Novelties

The presentation offers a novel perspective on conspiracy beliefs by advocating for a broader definition that includes true conspiracies and contested beliefs, and by introducing a discrimination index to measure the ability to distinguish between true and false conspiracies. This approach challenges the traditional ‘I know it when I see it’ attitude and emphasizes the importance of considering conspiracy beliefs as a disposition rather than solely as a set of false beliefs.

Pour aller plus loin :

  • Conspiracy theory — Provides background on the concept and its various definitions.
  • Actively open-minded thinking — Explains the construct and its measurement.
  • Signal detection theory — Relevant to the discrimination index used in the studies.

112 words

Radar Profile

The radar profile shows high scores in quantity and quality of information, with moderate technical level and high reliability, indicating a well-balanced and informative presentation.

Reliability 8/10