LCF26 | From artificial intelligence to quantum computing: the new frontiers of antitrust

LCF26 | From artificial intelligence to quantum computing: the new frontiers of antitrust

🎙 Lear - Economic Consultancy 👥 300 📅 October 2, 2026 ⏱ 65 min 👁 140 📄 debate 🧭 2026-10-15
Available in: English (current) Français

Keywords

anticipatory contestabilitymarket inquiryArticle 102Digital Markets Actinteroperability

Summary

This panel session at the LCF26 conference examines the intersection of antitrust enforcement with emerging technologies, particularly artificial intelligence and quantum computing. Luca Arnaudo presents the Italian Competition Authority’s market inquiry on quantum computing, launched in March 2026, which is the first of its kind worldwide. He discusses the exploratory nature of the inquiry, the challenges of analysing a technology still in development, and the justification for early intervention based on lessons from AI. Fabiana Di Porto introduces her concept of ‘anticipatory contestability’, arguing that competition law acts too late when it waits for market power to crystallize. She analyses how switching costs, proprietary interfaces and technical standards built today can determine future market structures, and compares the timing of various legal instruments including Article 102, the Data Act, the DMA and standardization law. The panel also discusses the EU Commission’s new guidelines on exclusionary abuses, merger regulation reform, and the need for transparent technical standards in quantum computing. Brian Boylan provides a US perspective on FTC and DOJ enforcement. The discussion highlights the tension between letting technology races run their course and ensuring competition is not impeded at an early stage.

192 words

Critical Evaluation

Value of the Information & Strength of the Argument

The discussion combines institutional authority with academic originality, providing genuine added value in a field where academic literature is still scarce. Fabiana Di Porto’s ‘anticipatory contestability’ concept is the intellectual highlight, shifting the focus from existing market power to the conditions of its formation. The argument is structured logically: the timing problem of competition law is identified, illustrated with concrete examples (interfaces, SDKs, standards, lock-in), and then addressed through a proposed temporal framework. The audience criticism is acknowledged and partially integrated, which strengthens credibility. However, the normative force remains limited by the exploratory nature of the Italian inquiry, and the panel does not fully resolve the fundamental tension between early intervention and the risk of chilling innovation. The use of the Schrödinger metaphor is effective rhetorically but does not fully bridge the gap between quantum physics and market dynamics.

Scientific Rigor, Source Quality, Title Accuracy

The sources are institutional and concrete: the EU Commission’s exclusionary abuse guidelines, the Italian market inquiry, an Oxera study on merger dynamics in quantum, and the French AI report. These provide solid anchoring. The panel acknowledges uncertainty in investment figures (20 to 50 billion range) and the absence of established academic literature, showing intellectual honesty. The title exactly matches the content — AI and quantum computing as antitrust frontiers. The video is organized by DLA Piper, whose partner is also a panelist; this organizational affiliation is visible but does not introduce promotional content in the discussion.

250 words

Title / Content Match

The title accurately reflects the content, which explores antitrust challenges posed by both AI and quantum computing as emerging frontiers of competition law.

Quality & Reliability

8/10

Panel of senior competition experts from national authorities, academia, and private practice discussing a concrete ongoing market inquiry with institutional backing. The arguments are grounded in specific legal instruments and policy documents, though presented as work-in-progress and lacking empirical verification for several claims (e.g., investment figures).

Key Moments

Cited Sources

  • AGCM market inquiry on quantum computing (launched March 2026) — First market study on quantum by a competition authority worldwide, presented by Luca Arnaudo as the main subject of the panel.
  • EU Commission Guidelines on exclusionary abuses — Newly released guidelines mentioned as describing 'winner takes all' dynamics increasingly common in the digital economy.
  • Truth on the Market article by Pandya — Critical article using the Schrödinger's box metaphor, questioning early competition authority intervention in quantum.
  • Oxera study on merger regulation and quantum dynamics — Report funded by the European Commission containing a full chapter on dynamic effects of mergers in the quantum industry.
  • French Competition Authority report on AI — Report from two years ago concluding that definitive conclusions on relevant markets are premature but vigilance is required.
  • Di Porto & Becker paper on anticipatory contestability — Academic work proposing a temporal approach to preserving contestability in emerging digital markets.

Concurring Sources

  • French Competition Authority AI report — Supports the cautious early vigilance approach to nascent technologies, cited by Luca Arnaudo as a model.
  • EU Commission merger reform proposal (Oxera study) — Its full chapter on quantum industry dynamics confirms the relevance of merger scrutiny in the sector.

Dissenting Sources

  • Truth on the Market article by Pandya — Argues that competition authorities should not intervene in technologies that are not yet markets, labelled as 'Schrödinger's cat' regulatory action, criticizing the Italian AGCM inquiry as premature.

Contribution & Novelties

The original contribution is double: the first-ever market study on quantum computing by a competition authority (practical novelty), and the ‘anticipatory contestability’ framework (intellectual novelty) that repositions the temporal dimension of competition law intervention. The panel convincingly argues that the formation of market power, not just its exercise, should be a legitimate antitrust concern. The reference to lessons from AI adds persuasive weight to the necessity of early vigilance.

Pour aller plus loin :

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Radar Profile

The radar profile is remarkably balanced across all four dimensions, with a slight emphasis on technical accuracy over raw information volume. This reflects a panel that privileges legal-technical depth and institutional credibility over broad accessibility. The homogeneity of scores suggests a consistent, well-prepared expert presentation rather than an improvised discussion.

Reliability 8/10